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枫下茶话 / 社会政治 / 存贴此处，将来看看谁预测的对:你认为未来4年内是否有人将登陆火星?
-221010(普京最怕核战争);
10-21
(#16344801@0)
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不可能。四年内能再次登月就很好了。以月球为基地去火星容易些？
-china-cat(chinacat);
10-21
(#16344808@0)
+1
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If everything lines up, it would take 9 months just to reach Mars. And the launch window only occurs every 26 months. There’s not much time left, even if you have all the equipment/rocket ready to go now.
-micah(mica);
10-21
(#16344864@0)
+1
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是。
-897102(bluebiu);
10-21
(#16344870@0)
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八年都没戏，现在都是生意，主义都是嘴巴
-livantai(大雲);
10-21
(#16344932@0)
+1
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Elon Musk 一向都是把萝卜吊在驴子前面一丈远，因为精英们是远视眼。所以 no
-walkthrough(elevated);
10-21
(#16345005@0)
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不可能的，目前计划是下一次窗口期2026年将发射无人飞船去火星，非常顺利的话下下个窗口期 2028年再发射载人飞船，登陆就得是2029五年以后了，这还是在最顺利的情况下。
-curve(curve);
10-21
(#16345303@0)