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枫下家园 / 理财投资税务 / ZT: （财经美与）有谁已为一场长达10年甚至更长的可怕熊市作好了思想准备？市民大众还没有，他们很多仍然以为以往20年间股市的情形可以算是历世走势的适当代表。他们迟早会大感意外。1792年以来的美国（股市）历史包括了9次大牛市，每次平均长达十年半时间；也包括8次大熊市，每次平均长度为十四年半。
Who's ready for a terrible bear market lasting a decade or more? Not the general public, many of whom still think a fair sampling of historical stock-market trends can be viewed in the last 20 years. These people will be surprised. …American history since 1792 consists of nine bullish eras averaging 10 and a half years and eight bearish eras averaging 14 and a half years. (James Kahn)
-sss(旁观者);
2003-2-23
{477}
(#1058529@0)
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2年以前俺已经发过警告了
-ceo(TaxService);
2003-2-23
(#1058662@0)